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Crude Signal

THE DR DESK

An import-dependent energy economy that earns its dollars from tourism, gold, free-zone manufacturing, and agro exports.

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NATIONAL EXPOSURE Dominican Republic is a net importer of 148.4 kb/d (2024). The past month's Brent move puts +$2.3M/day on its oil bill (+$834.2M/yr annualized). Full country page →

Power & fuel imports

Tourism & aviation

Agro exports — the revenue side

Gold — the anchor export

The peso — every import lands through it

Free zones & textiles

Construction

Everything here lands with ocean freight on top: the boards are the base, the surcharge rides diesel.

First-order border-price exposure: the country's net oil position re-priced at the Brent move, nothing else. It is not a realized import bill or fiscal forecast — it excludes term-contract lags, benchmark differentials (Dubai/Oman, WTI), hedging, product mix, and subsidies. An exact answer to one defined question. "War spike" = each board's peak response inside Feb 27 – Mar 31, 2026 (Brent +63%), from our archived daily closes — what happened during those dates, not a causal claim. Boards are futures/hub basis; landed local prices add freight, taxes, and margin.