Crude Signal

CRUDE SIGNAL · FOR OPERATORS

Know what commodity moves are
costing your business — before your suppliers tell you.

Tell it what you buy — diesel, steel, grain, packaging, power — and it becomes your live cost instrument: what the market is doing to your costs right now, what a shock would cost you, and what to watch. Built for the procurement manager, the fleet owner, the plant lead — the people who don't have a Bloomberg terminal.

SEE YOUR NUMBER · 10 SECONDS
My business buys gallons / month
Price one product — true margin → Track everything you buy — build your desk → Get the weekly briefing

Free. No account. Your numbers stay in your browser.

The problem

The letter you can't check. A supplier writes "prices are up on raw-material costs." Is it real? By how much? You have no way to verify what the market actually did.
Exposure you can't see. Fuel, metal, grain — they're real lines on your P&L, but nobody has told you, in dollars, what a market move does to your monthly costs.
No early warning. When the strait closes or tariffs land, you find out when the invoice arrives — not in time to lock, hedge, or plan.

What it does

1

Quantify your exposure

Enter your monthly volumes once. Get the exact dollar impact of the market's move on your costs — per line, with the math shown, and the biggest driver called out. A 10,000-gallon-a-month fleet sees exactly what today's fuel move added to its bill.

2

Stress-test the downside

Not just what happened — what if it gets worse. We apply each market's actual measured move from the last war spike (no made-up models) to your volumes, so you know what a repeat would cost. A trucking desk lights up; a steel desk barely moves. That's the difference between exposure and noise.

3

Price your product right

Define one unit of what you make — a pizza, a mile, a bag of coffee — as a recipe of live-priced inputs, and get its true margin today, the drift and its driver, and a standing suggested price that defends the margin you designed. Enter one invoice number and every figure runs on your landed costs, not the screen price.

4

Stay briefed

A plain-language read of what's driving your costs right now, what to watch, and how your exposure moved since you last checked. Copy it into an email, or share a link so your whole team sees the same number walking into a negotiation.

Why trust the number

Every read runs on live market data, and every forward call this desk makes is graded in public — 51 resolved, misses included. We don't hide behind vibes. When the US-Iran truce collapsed this week and fuel spiked, our wire and desk had it in real time; we published exactly which of our own calls broke against us the same day. The data is honest, the method is disclosed, and the mistakes are on the record.

Build your desk in 2 minutes →

Crude Signal is an independent oil-and-commodity wire. The exposure tool computes the market's move on your stated volumes; it is decision support, not advice, and your figures never leave your browser.