OIL & YOUR COUNTRY / Iran
OIL & IRAN
Iran is a net exporter of 2,627.8 kb/d of petroleum liquids (2024: consumes 1,999, produces 4,626.7 kb/d — derived from EIA international statistics). Brent rose $15.40 over the past month, to $94.76 (2026-09-02).
PAST MONTH'S MOVE × NET POSITION 2,627.8 kb/d x 1,000 x +$15.40 = +$40.5M/day
ANNUALIZED IF THE MOVE HOLDS +$14.77B/yr
YESTERDAY'S SESSION ALONE 2,627.8 kb/d x 1,000 x +$0.11 = +$289K/day
A rise pays it; a fall costs it. Sign follows the move.
First-order border-price exposure: the country's net oil position re-priced at the Brent move, nothing else. It is not a realized import bill or fiscal forecast — it excludes term-contract lags, benchmark differentials (Dubai/Oman, WTI), hedging, product mix, and subsidies. An exact answer to one defined question.
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