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Crude Signal

OIL & YOUR COUNTRY / Jamaica

OIL & JAMAICA

Jamaica is a net importer of 41.9 kb/d of petroleum liquids (2024: consumes 44.1, produces 2.3 kb/d — derived from EIA international statistics). Brent rose $9.36 over the past month, to $112.44 (2026-10-22).

PAST MONTH'S MOVE × NET POSITION 41.9 kb/d x 1,000 x +$9.36 = +$392K/day
ANNUALIZED IF THE MOVE HOLDS +$143.1M/yr
YESTERDAY'S SESSION ALONE 41.9 kb/d x 1,000 x +$3.62 = +$152K/day
A rise costs it; a fall pays it. Sign follows the move.

First-order border-price exposure: the country's net oil position re-priced at the Brent move, nothing else. It is not a realized import bill or fiscal forecast — it excludes term-contract lags, benchmark differentials (Dubai/Oman, WTI), hedging, product mix, and subsidies. An exact answer to one defined question.

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