OIL & YOUR COUNTRY / Kenya

OIL & KENYA

Kenya is a net importer of 116.2 kb/d of petroleum liquids (2024: consumes 116.2, produces 0 kb/d — derived from EIA international statistics). Brent rose $15.40 over the past month, to $94.76 (2026-09-02).

PAST MONTH'S MOVE × NET POSITION 116.2 kb/d x 1,000 x +$15.40 = +$1.8M/day

ANNUALIZED IF THE MOVE HOLDS +$653.2M/yr

YESTERDAY'S SESSION ALONE 116.2 kb/d x 1,000 x +$0.11 = +$13K/day

A rise costs it; a fall pays it. Sign follows the move.

First-order border-price exposure: the country's net oil position re-priced at the Brent move, nothing else. It is not a realized import bill or fiscal forecast — it excludes term-contract lags, benchmark differentials (Dubai/Oman, WTI), hedging, product mix, and subsidies. An exact answer to one defined question.

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