OIL & YOUR COUNTRY / Russia

OIL & RUSSIA

Russia is a net exporter of 6,731.4 kb/d of petroleum liquids (2024: consumes 3,801.9, produces 10,533.2 kb/d — derived from EIA international statistics). Brent rose $9.36 over the past month, to $112.44 (2026-10-22).

PAST MONTH'S MOVE × NET POSITION 6,731.4 kb/d x 1,000 x +$9.36 = +$63.0M/day

ANNUALIZED IF THE MOVE HOLDS +$23.00B/yr

YESTERDAY'S SESSION ALONE 6,731.4 kb/d x 1,000 x +$3.62 = +$24.4M/day

A rise pays it; a fall costs it. Sign follows the move.

First-order border-price exposure: the country's net oil position re-priced at the Brent move, nothing else. It is not a realized import bill or fiscal forecast — it excludes term-contract lags, benchmark differentials (Dubai/Oman, WTI), hedging, product mix, and subsidies. An exact answer to one defined question.

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